Yankees vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for April 11 (Gerrit Cole Dominates Again)

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians prediction, odds and betting insights for MLB regular season game.
New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians prediction, odds and betting insights for MLB regular season game. / Associated Press

Yankees vs Guardians Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023
  • Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Progressive Field – Cleveland, OH
  • Coverage: YES

The New York Yankees sit at 6-4 after a tough loss to the Cleveland Guardians on Monday night, but now have ace Gerrit Cole on the mound for the middle game of the series. Cole has been fantastic to start the season, with a 2-0 record, 0.73 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 19 strikeouts in 12.1 innings pitched.

The Guardians are sending Hunter Gaddis to the mound, who has had a solid start to the season, but not anywhere near Cole's level. Gaddis has a 3.72 ERA in 9.2 innings pitched.

Yankees vs Guardians Odds & Spread

  • All MLB betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: NYY: (-172) | CLE: (+144)
  • Spread: NYY: -1.5 (-108) | CLE: +1.5 (-111)
  • Total: 8 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)

The Yankees enter this AL matchup as road favorites on the moneyline at FanDuel Sportsbook. This game also has a projected total of 8 runs, with the over favored at -122 odds.

Yankees vs Guardians Betting Trends

  • The Yankees are 8-4 in their last 12 games against Cleveland
  • The total has hit the under in 11 of the Yankees' last 16 games.
  • Cleveland is 7-3 in its last 10 games.
  • The total has hit the under in four of Cleveland's last five home games against the Yankees.m

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction & Pick

Gerrit Cole looks like he's coming for blood and a Cy Young this season. He has been virtually unhittable so far. Cole's one flaw has been his propensity to give up home runs, something Clevelan'ds lineup isn't known for.

The Yankees should be able to ride the coatails of Cole to a win here. The Yankees offense hasn't exploded yet this season, but they surely have the talent to do so. Aaron Judge looks like he's on pace for another huge season and he had two home runs in just 17 at-bats against Cleveland last season.

Final Score Prediction: Yankees: 7 | Guardians: 2

Yankees vs Guardians Best Bet

The first half of this game is our target considering the matchup. While even moneyline on that doesn't hold any value, we're going to take a 1st Half Alternate run line of Yankees -1.5 and get those plus odds. Cole held opponents scoreless through the first five innings of both of his starts, and his most recent one was against a more talented Phillies lineup. I have every expectation he will do the same here and the Yankees will find a way to score early against Gaddis.

Bet: 1st Half Alternate Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (+132)

David Kaestle is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username davekaestle. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.