Vikings vs Commanders Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 9 (Minnesota's Struggles to Defend the Pass Continue)

Vikings vs Commanders Week 9 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 9
Minnesota Vikings (6-1, 2-1 Away) vs. Washington Commanders (4-4, 2-2 Home)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 6, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: FedEx Field — Landover, MD
Coverage: FOX

The Minnesota Vikings will look to extend their winning streak to six games when they take on the Washington Commanders in Week 9. Minnesota took down the Arizona Cardinals by a score of 34-26 in Week 8. Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison combined to log 3 rushing touchdowns.

Meanwhile, the Commanders moved to 2-0 when quarterback Taylor Heinicke is at the helm after a thrilling 17-16 win over the Indianapolis Colts. The veteran signal-caller led Washington on a 9-play, 89-yard drive late in the fourth quarter and dove into the end zone on a 1-yard score to seal the win.

Vikings vs Commanders Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MIN: (-168) | WAS: (+142)
Spread: MIN: -3 (-118) | WAS: +3 (-104)
Total: 43.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Updated (Sunday, Nov. 6, 11:05 a.m. EST): The line only saw minor tweaks in this game. Minnesota opened as a -186 favorite and that number is down to -168. Likewise, the spread moved down from 3.5 to 3 points but the over/under holds steady at 43.5.

The Vikings enter this contest as a small road favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the lower totals on the Week 9 slate at 43.5 points.

Vikings vs Commanders Prediction & Pick

The Vikings have been rising up the power rankings with one win after another. However, only one of their victories have come against a team with a winning record and that was when they beat a Miami squad without QB Tua Tagovailoa. A favorable schedule is overshadowing Minnesota's weaknesses.

The Vikings have posted the fourth-worst pass defense DVOA rating in the NFL and are allowing a whopping 262.1 yards through the air per game (No. 26 in NFL). Heinicke has shown he is not afraid to air it out and has racked up 64 pass attempts across two starts. He'll be looking to take advantage.

Final Score Prediction: Vikings: 20 | Commanders: 21

Vikings vs Commanders Betting Trends

- Minnesota is 4-1 straight up in its last five games against Washington.
- The total has hit the over in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 away games.
- Washington is 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games in November.
- The total has hit the over in six of Washington's last seven games against Minnesota.

Vikings vs Commanders Best Bet

Bettors uncomfortable with backing an outright win for the Commanders here can turn their attention to trusting Washington on the spread. Minnesota is only 2-4 against the spread (ATS) this season and is 1-4 ATS in its last five games against an NFC East opponent. They don't blow opposing teams out.

As mentioned above, Minnesota struggles to defend the pass. Keep in mind Washington possesses one of the best WR duos in the NFC in Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel. Both players are averaging at least 48 yards per game and have posted a combined 410 yards after the catch in eight games.

Bet: Washington Commanders +3.5 (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.