UCF v Tulane Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for AAC Championship Game (Green Wave Reverse Result on UCF)

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Central Florida vs Tulane prediction, odds and betting trends for 2022 NCAA football AAC Championship Game.
Central Florida vs Tulane prediction, odds and betting trends for 2022 NCAA football AAC Championship Game. / Associated Press
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UCF vs Tulane American Athletic Conference Championship Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
UCF Knights (9-3, 6-2 AAC) vs. Tulane Green Wave (10-2, 7-1 AAC)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022
Time: 4 p.m. ET
Venue: Yulman Stadium — New Orleans, LA
Coverage: ABC

The regular season is over and only conference championships remain before the final College Football Playoff rankings. The fifth CFP Top 25 rankings are revealed on Tuesday, Nov. 29 on ESPN.

The American Athletic Conference Championship Game features a pair of Top 25 teams. The Central Florida Knights and Tulane Green Wave battle in a rematch of their Nov. 12 contest won by UCF 38-31.

UCF vs Tulane Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: UCF: (+140) | TUL: (-170)
Spread: UCF: +3.5 (-114) | TUL: -3.5 (-106)
Total: 56.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Tulane enters this contest as a small favorite on the spread (-3.5) and moneyline (-170). A win by UCF returns +140 on the moneyline. The total is currently 56.5 points, which is right at the average compared to college football projected totals this season.

UCF vs Tulane Prediction & Pick

Central Florida and Tulane average 34 points per game offense having scored 419 and 413 points this season. The defenses are also close (20-21 PPG), but Tulane's defense was No. 2 in the AAC allowing 336 yards per game at 4.9 yards per play to UCF's 361 YPG and 5.4 yards per play. Tulane's league-best pass defense (182/game) is the difference with 11 INT's as well.

But in the 38-31 UCF win at Tulane on Nov. 12, the Knights went wire-to-wire for the win and rushed for 336 yards and a total yards edge of 468-391 while controlling the ball for more than 35 minutes. Tulane RB Tyjae Spears was injured in that game, and he's rushed at least 120 yards in six straight games and 8.4 YPR over his last four contests.

Central Florida QB John Rhys Plumlee left last weeks win over USF in the second quarter with a hamstring injury, so monitor his status as he's also been less effective since a concussion a month ago.

Final Score Prediction: Tulane: 31 | UCF: 26

UCF vs Tulane Betting Trends

- Central Florida is 8-2 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.
- Central Florida is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games vs Tulane.
- Tulane is 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 games.
- The total has hit the Over in 5 of Tulane's last 6 games.

UCF vs Tulane Best Bet

Tulane has yet to win the conference in its program history, while UCF last won the AAC in 2018. The Green Wave were a nation-best 10-2 against the spread (ATS) this season, but one of those losses was a SU 38-31 home loss to UCF as a 1-point favorite.

Tulane's tight 27-24 road win at Cincinnati last week was impressive against the Bearcats top defense. The Green Way shut down Cincinnati's pass attack and can do the same against UCF to get a close win and reverse the result against Central Florida in the AAC Championship Game.

Bet: Tulane -3.5 (-106)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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