Toledo vs Ohio Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for MAC Championship Game (QB Injuries Impact Title Game)

FairwayJay
Toledo vs Ohio odds, prediction and betting trends for 2022 NCAA football MAC Championship Game.
Toledo vs Ohio odds, prediction and betting trends for 2022 NCAA football MAC Championship Game. / Emilee Chinn / Associated Press
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Toledo vs Ohio MAC Championship Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Toledo Rockets (7-5, 5-3 MAC) vs. Ohio Bobcats (9-3, 7-1 MAC)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022
Time: 12 p.m. ET
Venue: Ford Field -- Detroit, MI
Coverage: ESPN

The MAC Championship Game features arguably the league's best offense against the league's best defense. But quarterback injuries on both teams will impact the play.

Ohio has won 7-straight games and covered 8 in a row entering the title game. The Bobcats defense his improved greatly during the streak, but their star quarterback is out for the season. Toledo has lost two straight games and their starting quarterback is hobbled.

Toledo vs Ohio Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TOL: (-128) | OHIO: (+106)
Spread: KSU: -1.5 (-115) | OHIO: +1.5 (-105)
Total: 55.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Toledo enters this contest as a slight favorite on the spread (-1.5) and moneyline (-128). The total is currently 55.5 points - about average for a weekly college football over/under this season.

Toledo vs Ohio Prediction & Pick

This championship game features the MAC's top two offenses in Ohio (34 PPG, 437 YPG at 6.4 yards per play) and Toledo (33 PPG, 407 YPG at 5.6 YPPL). However, defensively the Rockets are No. 1 in the MAC allowing just 337 yards at 4.8 yards per play while Ohio is last in the MAC allowing 441 yards per game at 6.3 YPPL.

Ohio's pass attack led the MAC at 295 yards per game and 8.9 yards per pass - 60 YPG better than Toledo. But Bobcats QB Kurtis Rourke suffered a torn ACL and meniscus Nov. 15 against Ball State and is out. Backup QB CJ Harris completed 10 of 21 passes for 196 yards with 1 TD, and he ran for 65 yards and 3 TD's in last week's 38-14 win over Bowling Green.

Toledo is in worse shape at quarterback with DeQuan Finn injuring his ankle in a loss to Bowling Green Nov. 15. His mobility is gone but he tried to play last week and threw a crippling pick-6 in the 20-14 loss at Western Michigan. Backup QB Tucker Gleason broke his hand against Bowling Green.

The quarterback injuries and situations suggest less scoring and Ohio's defensive improvement is not factored enough into the total as well.

Final Score Prediction: Ohio: 27 | Toledo: 20

Toledo vs Ohio Betting Trends

- Toledo is 0-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games.
- Ohio is 7-0 straight up (SU) in their last 7 games.
- Ohio is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games.
- The total has gone Under in 4 of Ohio's lat 6 games.

Toledo vs Ohio Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Second-year Ohio head coach Tim Albin has turned last year's 3-win Bobcats into a 9-win team on the cusp of a MAC Championship. The defense has not improved much statistically under first year coordinator, but the Bobcats defense has made huge improvements the second half of the season and held six opponents to 24 points or less and Buffalo to just 260 yards offense in that 45-24 win.

Ohio is on a 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS run into the MAC Championship Game and gets Toledo in a difficult situation with their quarterbacks.

Bet: Ohio and Under 55.5 (-115)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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