Timberwolves vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 16 (Minnesota Dominates Utah Around the Rim)

Larry Rupp
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Rick Bowmer
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Timberwolves vs. Jazz Game Info

  • Date: Monday, January 16, 2023
  • Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Coverage: SportsNet RM and BSN

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Monday with nine more games, including a battle between the Utah Jazz and Minnesota Timberwolves. The Jazz rank 10th in the Western Conference with a 22-24 record, while the Timberwolves check in seventh with a 22-22 record. This one is a true toss-up.

Utah enters as a loser in eight of its last 11 games after a 118-117 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday. Meanwhile, Minnesota has now won six of its last seven games following a 110-102 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday. Which Western Conference playoff hopeful will win today?

Timberwolves vs. Jazz Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs Jazz Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Timberwolves -2.5 - - 230.5 -110 -110 -138 118

The Timberwolves enter this contest as small home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 4 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 234.5 points, which is above average compared to Monday's projected totals.

Timberwolves vs. Jazz Betting Trends

  • The Timberwolves have registered a 19-24-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Jazz have an against the spread record of 15-4 in their 19 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more this year.
  • This season, 20 of the Timberwolves' games have gone over the point total out of 44 chances.
  • The Jazz have gone over the point total 56.8% of the time this season (25 of 44 games with a set point total).
  • At home, Minnesota sports a better record against the spread (11-12-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (8-12-0).
  • Utah has been better against the spread on the road (13-10-0) than at home (11-9-1) this season.

Timberwolves vs. Jazz Prediction & Pick

The Jazz got into a quick hole and trailed by as much as 20 points in the first quarter against the 76ers. It was clear they were failing to adjust without top scorer Lauri Markkanen. The sixth-year pro is listed as questionable to play on Monday afternoon as he continues to nurse a hip injury.

Losing Markkanen leaves the Jazz vulnerable down low. Utah already gives up 55.0 points in the paint per game, which is the second-worst mark in the NBA. The Timberwolves thrive around the rim, averaging 54.8 points in the paint per game (No. 6 in NBA) and shooting 58.1% from two-point range (No. 2 in NBA).

Minnesota is riding a five-game home winning streak, too, so give me the Timberwolves here.

Final Score Prediction: Timberwolves: 121 | Jazz: 115

Timberwolves vs. Jazz Best Bet

It's worth noting that Minnesota may be without one of its top players in Rudy Gobert for this game, but Naz Reid has proven capable of stepping up. The veteran tallied 17 points and 7 rebounds in 28 minutes on Saturday. It's clear the Timberwolves envoke an offensive system that fits their players.

Minnesota is 5-2 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games overall and 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games against the Northwest Division. The Timberwolves are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Jazz and emerged victorious by a score of 118-108 on Dec. 9. I expect a similar result here.

Bet: Minnesota Timberwolves -2 (112)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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