NCAAF Betting

Texas State vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for College Football Game on FanDuel Sportsbook

Larry Rupp
Texas State vs Baylor prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game.
Texas State vs Baylor prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game. / AP Photos/Tyler Tate
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Texas State vs Baylor Week 3 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Texas State Bobcats (1-1) vs. No. 17 Baylor Bears (1-1)
Date: Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
Venue: McLane Stadium — Waco, TX
Coverage: FS1

Week 3 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes a showdown between the Texas State Bobcats and No. 17 Baylor Bears. The Bobcats are coming off an impressive 41-12 win over Florida International where running back Calvin Hill stole the show with 195 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Meanwhile, Baylor will be looking to bounce back after suffering an overtime loss to the BYU Cougars last weekend. Running back Qualan Jones has scored 3 rushing touchdowns and quarterback Blake Shapen has tossed 3 touchdowns across two games played thus far, so the Bears are balanced on offense.

Texas State vs Baylor Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TXST: (+2000) | BAY: (-7000)
Spread: TXST: +29.5 (-106) | BAY: -29.5 (-114)
Total: 52.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Baylor enters this contest as the clear favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 12 p.m. ET clash also features a total of 52.5 points, which is about average compared to this week's college football projected totals.

Texas State vs Baylor Prediction & Pick

There have been some crazy upsets in college football this season, but that doesn't mean Texas State has a shot to be the latest team to pull off the impossible. The Bobcats have not beaten a Big 12 team in any of their last nine attempts and are 3-16 straight up in their last 19 away games.

This is a chance for Baylor to make a statement after barely coming up short against BYU. The Bears still have a chance to win a conference title and make the College Football Playoff. They aren't going to let that slip away against a Texas State team that doesn't have the same level of talent as them.

Final Score Prediction: Baylor: 41 | Texas State: 14

Texas State vs Baylor Betting Trends

- Texas State is 0-9 straight up in its last nine games against a Big 12 opponent.
- The total has hit the under in six of Texas State's last eight games.
- Baylor is 11-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 15 games.
- The total has hit the under in six of Baylor's last seven games.

Texas State vs Baylor Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

All signs point to the Bears winning this game, but expecting them to win it by more than 29 points is a lot to ask. The Bobcats have yet to allow a passing touchdown on the season and have held opponents to 3.0 yards per carry across two games. They have the rushing offense needed to keep it close, too.

Texas State posted 226 rushing yards on 43 carries last weekend and can rely on Hill to grind out some first downs. Overall, the Bobcats are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games, while Baylor is 3-6 ATS in its last nine Week 3 games. Back Texas State to avoid a blowout loss here.

Bet: Texas State +29.5 (-106)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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