Saints vs Steelers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 10 (Return of TJ Watt Transforms Pittsburgh's Defense)

Saints vs Steelers Week 10 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 10
New Orleans Saints (3-6, 1-2 Away) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (2-6, 1-2 Home)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 13, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium — Pittsburgh, PA
Coverage: FOX

The Pittsburgh Steelers will aim to put on a great show for the home crowd when they host the New Orleans Saints in Week 10 NFL action. The Saints are fresh off a 27-13 loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 9. New Orleans only mustered 48 yards on the ground on 15 carries (3.2-yard average).

Meanwhile, the Steelers enter rested from their bye week. Pittsburgh fell to the Philadelphia Eagles by a score of 35-13 its last time out in Week 8. Rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett struggled once again as he averaged 7.6 yards per completion and tossed an interception. He was also sacked six times.

Saints vs Steelers Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: NO: (-132) | PIT: (+112)
Spread: NO: -2.5 (-108) | PIT: +2.5 (-112)
Total: 40.5 — Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)

The Saints enter this contest as a slight road favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the lower totals on the Week 10 slate at 40.5 points.

Saints vs Steelers Prediction & Pick

Neither one of these teams have lived up to expectations so far. For the Saints, an offense that was praised for adding depth in the offseason has been careless with a league-leading 17 giveaways. For the Steelers, a defense that has been strong for years is giving up 5.9 yards per play (T-No. 28 in NFL).

This matchup is a toss-up, so I'll side with the home team. All-Pro linebacker T.J. Watt is expected to make his return from injury on Sunday and the Steelers are only giving up 19.7 points per game at Acrisure Stadium. I expect a few New Orleans turnovers to put Pittsburgh in good field position, too.

Final Score Prediction: Saints: 17 | Steelers: 21

Saints vs Steelers Betting Trends

- New Orleans is 4-1 straight up in its last five games against Pittsburgh.
- The total has hit the over in four of New Orleans' last six games.
- Pittsburgh is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games.
- The total has hit the over in five of Pittsburgh's last six games against New Orleans.

Saints vs Steelers Best Bet

The value in this game lies with the point total. Both of these offenses rank outside the top 20 in total offense DVOA rating and are dealing with injuries to key players. Wide receiver Michael Thomas remains out for the Saints, while the Steelers will be without starting kicker Chris Boswell on Sunday.

Overall, the under has cashed in six of Pittsburgh's last seven home games as well as in five of New Orleans' last six games against an AFC opponent. Head coach Mike Tomlin will have his boys revved up for this game after two weeks of preparation, so look for the Saints' offense to get frustrated early.

Bet: Under 40.5 Points (-114)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.