Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for College Football Week 9 Game on FanDuel

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Week 9 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Pitt Panthers (4-3, 1-2 ACC) vs. No. 21 North Carolina Tar Heels (6-1, 3-0 ACC)
Date: Saturday, Oct. 29, 2022
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Venue: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Coverage: ACC Network

Week 9 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes an ACC Coastal division battle between the Pitt Panthers and division-leading North Carolina Tar Heels.

North Carolina has a situational edge off a bye week, and the Tar Heels won last year's meeting in overtime, 30-24 despite being out-gained by nearly 60 yards.

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: PITT: (+128) | NC: (-154)
Spread: PITT: +3.5 (-122) | NC: -3.5 (+100)
Total: 64.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

North Carolina enters this contest as a 3.5-point favorite on the spread, and -154 on the moneyline. A win by Pittsburgh returns +128 on the moneyline. The total is 64.5 - up sharply from Sunday's opener of 59.5 in Las Vegas, and more than a TD higher than an average college football total.

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Prediction & Pick

Pitt lost at Louisville last week in a misleading final, 24-10. The Panthers are +82 yards per game this season while North Carolina is +30 YPG. Yet Pitt found a way to lose to Georgia Tech as a 21-point favorite, but was good enough to take current No. 3 Tennessee to the limit before losing in overtime, 34-27 when they held the Volunteers nation-best offense to 135 yards below their season average.

So Pitt has the stronger defense allowing 334 yards per game to NC's 476 YPG defense, but the Panthers have allowed 26 PPG vs FBS opponents. The Tar Heels do has the ACC's worst run and pass defense, but the NC offense is top 10 in the country averaging 489 YPG vs FBS foes. That includes more than 500 over their last three games in 3-point wins over Duke and Miami and a blowout of Virginia Tech.

North Carolina's defense is fairly dreadful, and Pitt will attack more on the ground as the Panthers passing game is lacking to have consistent success against a leaky NC secondary. North Carolina breakout QB Drake Maye leads a top-10 passing attack averaging 332 YPG through the air vs FBS foes with a sterling 24:3 TD-INT ratio with a staggering 9.6 yards per attempt.

Final Score Prediction: North Carolina: 31 | Pittsburgh: 30

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Betting Trends

- Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games vs North Carolina.
- Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- North Carolina is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
- North Carolina is 5-1 SU in their last 6 home games.
- The total has hit the Over in 6 of of NC's last 9 games.

Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Pitt has out-gained 5-of-7 opponent's this season, and the Panthers will be pissed off following last week's result. Under head coach Pat Narduzzi, Pitt is 5-0 ATS and 6-0 SU when coming off a loss the past three seasons. Not interested in laying these points with North Carolina's ACC-worst defense, or laying the juice to take Pittsburgh. Lean under the total and against the move upward.

Bet: Under 64.5