Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for November 28 (A Rested Denver Squad Cruises to Victory)

Larry Rupp
Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Michael Dwyer
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Nuggets vs. Rockets Game Info

  • Date: Monday, November 28, 2022
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
  • Coverage: ALT and SportsNet SW

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Monday with a slate of 10 games, including a showdown between the Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets. Houston took down the Oklahoma City Thunder by a score of 118-105 on Saturday. Guard Jalen Green paved the way with 28 points and 9 assists.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets relied on a strong start to beat the Los Angeles Clippers, 114-104, on Friday. Aaron Gordon put together one of his best performances of the season, racking up 29 points to go along with 7 rebounds and 3 assists. The 27-year-old shot a stellar 75.0% from the floor (12-of-16).

Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: DEN: (-450) | HOU: (+600)
  • Spread: DEN: -11.5 (-112) | HOU: +11.5 (-108)
  • Total: 228.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Nuggets enter this contest as clear road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 228.5 points, which is about average compared to the rest of Monday's projected totals.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets won 36 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover or pushing 46 times.
  • The Rockets' ATS record as underdogs of 11.5 points or greater was 8-7-2 last season.
  • Nuggets games went over the point total 47 out of 82 times last season.
  • Last year, 44 of the Rockets' 82 games hit the over.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction & Pick

The Nuggets are back from a lengthy road trip and have been off since Friday, meaning they will be well-rested for this one. Bones Hyland and Michael Porter Jr. remain questionable to play, but Denver possesses the roster depth to win this game no matter what. Its biggest edge comes in efficiency.

Head coach Michael Malone's team is shooting an impressive 49.3% from the floor (No. 2 in NBA) and 39.8% from three-point range (No. 2 in NBA) on the season. Houston has not fared nearly as well, shooting just 44.2% from the floor (No. 29 in NBA) and 35.4% from beyond the arc (No. 16 in NBA).

Houston has dropped seven straight games at Ball Arena, so give me the Nuggets on Monday night.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets: 119 | Rockets: 105

Nuggets vs. Rockets Best Bet

It's important to note the Nuggets have more advantages in this game besides when they're shooting the basketball. Houston ranks last in the NBA in terms of turnovers per game (18.3), which should lead to a ton of scoring opportunities. Denver averages 15.6 fast break points per game (No. 6 in NBA).

Overall, Denver is 5-2 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games against Houston. The Nuggets are also 14-5 ATS in their last 19 Monday home games. Two of Denver's three wins over Houston last season came by at least 13 points. Look for the Rockets to go down early and never come back.

Bet: Denver Nuggets -11.5 (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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