Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 26 (Big Ten Defenses Stand Tall in Second Half)

Duel Staff
Michigan vs Wisconsin prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Michigan vs Wisconsin prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Noah K. Murray

Michigan vs Wisconsin Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • Michigan (16-12, 10-7 Big Ten) vs. Wisconsin (16-11, 8-9 Big Ten)
  • Date: Sunday, February 26, 2023
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Crisler Center -- Ann Arbor, Michigan
  • Coverage: CBS

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Sunday with an exciting matchup between the Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan Wolverines. Wisconsin is coming off a 64-52 win over Iowa on Wednesday where it held the Hawkeyes to a 32.3% shooting mark. Connor Essegain tallied 17 points.

Meanwhile, Michigan took down Rutgers by a score of 58-45 on Thursday thanks to a standout defensive effort. The Wolverines forced 13 turnovers and held the Scarlet Knights to a shooting percentage of 38.3%. Which Big Ten squad will earn a valuable conference win on Sunday afternoon?

Michigan vs Wisconsin Odds & Spread

Michigan enters this contest as a considerable home favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 2 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 129.5 points, which is below average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

Michigan vs Wisconsin Betting Trends

  • Michigan's record against the spread is 14-14-0.
  • The Wolverines' ATS record as 4.5-point favorites or more is 6-7.
  • Michigan has seen 15 of its 28 games hit the over.
  • Wisconsin is 13-13-0 against the spread this year.
  • Against the spread as 4.5-point underdogs or more, the Badgers are 5-3.
  • This season, 13 of Wisconsin's 26 games have hit the over.
Michigan Rank Michigan AVG Wisconsin AVG Wisconsin Rank
153rd 72.9 Points Scored 64.6 337th
134th 68.4 Points Allowed 62.8 26th
82nd 33.6 Rebounds 29.4 298th
246th 7.8 Off. Rebounds 6.4 327th
144th 7.7 3pt Made 8.4 72nd
226th 12.5 Assists 12 274th
15th 9.6 Turnovers 8.1 1st

Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction & Pick

Michigan's March Madness hopes are dangling by a thread, which makes every win down the stretch even more crucial. Wisconsin is projected to be on the cusp of an NCAA Tournament spot as well, so expect both sides to come out with some motivation. This one will mean a lot on Selection Sunday.

The bad news for the Badgers here is that the Wolverines' defense excels at taking away their opponent's biggest strength. Wisconsin averages 8.4 three-point makes per game (No. 63 in NCAA), but Michigan allows a three-point shooting percentage of only 28.4% during home games this year.

Michigan has won five of its last seven games, so back the Wolverines to keep momentum rolling.

Final Score Prediction: Michigan: 65 | Wisconsin: 60

Michigan vs Wisconsin Best Bet

These are teams that make constant adjustments on defense and tend to tighten things up near the end of the game. It's a habit that makes backing the under in the second half the way to go. After all, both Michigan and Wisconsin rank among the top 60 teams in second half points allowed per game.

The Wolverines and Badgers met just 12 days ago in a game that featured 60 total points in the second half. Less than 69 second half points have been scored in five of the last seven matchups between Michigan and Wisconsin overall. That's a trend that dates back to January of 2019.

Bet: Second Half Under 68.5 Points (-106)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.