Fresno State v Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Mountain West Championship (Watch Weather Closely)

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Fresno State vs Boise State prediction, odds and betting trends for 2022 NCAA football Mountain West Conference Championship Game.
Fresno State vs Boise State prediction, odds and betting trends for 2022 NCAA football Mountain West Conference Championship Game. / Gary Kazanjian / Associated Press
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Fresno State vs Boise State Mountain West Championship Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Fresno State Bulldogs (8-4, 7-1 Mtn West) vs. Boise State Broncos (9-3, 8-0 Mtn West)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022
Time: 4 p.m. ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium — Boise, ID
Coverage: FOX

The regular season is over and only conference championships remain. The Mountain West Championship will be decided between the conferences two dominant teams Fresno State and Boise State. It will be played on the blue turf on Boise State's home field and televised on FOX.

Fresno State vs Boise State Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: FRES: (+134) | BOIS: (-162)
Spread: FRES: +3.5 (-118) | BOIS: -3.5 (-104)
Total: 54.5 — Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)

Boise State enters this conference championship game as a small favorite on the spread (-3.5) and moneyline (-162). A win by Fresno State returns +134 on the moneyline. The total is currently 54.5 points, which is just below a typical college football game.

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Fresno State vs Boise State Prediction & Pick

Fresno State has won 7-straight games. The Bulldogs last loss was Oct. 8 at Boise State, 40-20. But Fresno State played that game without their two captains, senior QB Jake Haener and safety Evan Williams.

The Bulldogs and Broncos lead the Mountain West in scoring at 30 points per game with Fresno State averaging 407 yards per game and Boise State a more balanced 387 yards per game. Fresno State QB Jake Haener averages a league-high 304 passing yards per game with 73% completions and a 17:3 TD-INT ratio playing in 8 games. Haener has passed for more than 315 yards in six games this season including against Pac-12 Oregon State's top defense.

Haener is wearing protective padding on his ankle from his high-ankle sprain. Monitor the status of sack leader DE David Perales, who left last week's 30-0 win over Wyoming with a similar injury.

Boise State has rushed for at least 200 yards in three straight games, and 316 against Fresno State. But the rematch is much tougher with Fresno State QB Haener in the lineup. Boise State's defense has been stellar holding Mountain West opponents to 94 yards per game below their season average. Fresno State's defense has allowed just 334 YPG and 14 points per game in their last four contests.

Final Score Prediction: Fresno State: 27 | Boise State: 24

Fresno State vs Boise State Betting Trends

- Fresno State is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone Over in 5 of Fresno State's last 6 games.
- Boise State is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
- The total has gone Over in 5 of Boise State's last 5 home games.

Fresno State vs Boise State Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Fresno State coach Jeff Tedford is one of the best, and he has the Bulldogs on a roll playing their best football with seven straight wins. Fresno State has their leaders back in the lineup, and QB Jake Haener is a difference maker.

Monitor the weather and light rain and snow are in the advance forecast with near freezing temps and up to 15 MPH winds. The game total is likely to dip as well.

Bet: Fresno State +3.5 (-118)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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