Bucks vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for December 30 (Milwaukee Gets Back on Track in Home Win)

Larry Rupp
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Quinn Harris

Bucks vs. Timberwolves Game Info

  • Date: Friday, December 30, 2022
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Coverage: BSWI and BSN

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Friday with eight more games, including a battle between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Milwaukee Bucks. Minnesota ranks 11th in the Western Conference with an 16-19 record, while Milwaukee checks in third in the Eastern Conference with a 22-12 record.

The Timberwolves enter on a four-game losing streak following a 119-118 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Bucks have also lost four games in a row, including a 119-113 overtime defeat suffered to the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. Which team will win on Friday?

Bucks vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

Bucks vs Timberwolves Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Bucks -5 - - 229 -110 -110 -215 180
  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: MIL: (-240) | MIN: (+198)
  • Spread: MIL: -6 (-110) | MIN: +6 (-110)
  • Total: 227.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Bucks enter this contest as clear home favorites on moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 227.5 points, which is about average compared to Friday's projected totals.

Bucks vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • The Bucks won 39 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover or pushing 43 times.
  • As 5-point underdogs or greater, the Timberwolves went 7-7 against the spread last season.
  • Bucks games hit the over 42 out of 82 times last season.
  • Last year, 49 of the Timberwolves' 82 games went over the point total.

Bucks vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

The Timberwolves sit 1.5 games back of the final play-in spot in the Western Conference and are still attempting to figure things out with Karl-Anthony Towns sidelined. Three of their last four losses have come by 5 points or less, which leads fans to think that the late-game strategy needs improvement.

Facing a team that has lost four straight seems like a positive matchup, but the Bucks are returning home after a five-game road trip. They want to get back on track in an arena they have posted a 14-3 record in this year. Milwaukee has posted an average scoring margin of +10.0 at home (No. 2 in NBA).

Keep in mind Minnesota has also lost six of its last seven road games. I'll fade the Timberwolves here.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks: 121 | Timberwolves: 111

Bucks vs. Timberwolves Best Bet

Backing the Bucks on the spread is not a bad idea, but backing the over on the point total is a much better option. After all, the total has hit the over in four of Milwaukee's last five games and in four of Minnesota's last six games. It has also hit the over in seven of the Milwaukee's last eight home games.

These are two teams that know how to score the ball. The Bucks are averaging 118.2 points per home game (No. 8 in NBA), while the Timberwolves are shooting 49.4% from the floor on the road this season (No. 3 in NBA). Look for two offenses stuck in losing streaks to turn it up a notch on Friday.

Bet: Over 227.5 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.