NFL - Odds & Predictions

Bears vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 11 (Absence of Defense Leads to A-Town Shootout)

Devon Platana
Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 11.
Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 11. / ASSOCIATED PRESS

Bears vs Falcons Week 11 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season Game
Chicago Bears (3-7, 1-4 Away) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-6, 3-2 Home)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA
Coverage: FOX

Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season includes a showdown between the Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons. The Bears' underwhelming season continued its downward trend in Week 10 with a hard-fought 31-30 loss to the Detroit Lions at Soldier Field.

The Falcons, on the other hand, have lost back-to-back for the first time since the first two weeks of the season. Their latest defeat was a 25-15 loss to the rival Carolina Panthers last Thursday that saw Atlanta record just 291 total yards while going 3-of-11 on third downs.

Bears vs Falcons Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: CHI: (+116) | ATL: (-136)
Spread: CHI: +2.5 (-106) | ATL: -2.5 (-114)
Total: 48.5 —Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)

Updated (Sunday, Nov. 20, 12:20 p.m. ET): The line has moved slightly in Chicago's favor. After opening the week as 3-point underdogs, Chicago is now just a 2.5-point road underdog. Their moneyline odds moved from +150 to +116 and the over/under dropped from 50.5 to 48.5 points.

The Falcons enter this contest as slight favorites on the moneyline and spread on FanDuel Sportsbook's updated odds. This NFC clash also features an over/under of 50.5, which is the highest of the Week 11 totals. 

Bears vs Falcons Prediction & Pick

The Bears may not have won a game since Oct. 24, but the offense has been looking much better lately. Chicago has averaged 30.3 points in its last three outings, tied for third-best in the NFL in that span.

Justin Fields has played like a man possessed during that time. He's tallied 441 passing yards and seven touchdowns with an interception while also rushing the ball 36 times for 385 rushing yards and another four scores on the ground. Now, Fields gets to face a defense that gives up 3.9 yards per carry to opposing QBs.

Though the Falcons have a slightly better record here, they're hard to trust because of their underwhelming offense. Atlanta might have the 12th-best offense this season, but the unit has been held to 17 or fewer points in three of the last four games.

While the Falcons could find their groove against a weak Chicago defense, they've only hit the 30-point mark once this season whereas the Bears have reached it three times in their last four outings.

Give me the Bears being victorious on the road.

Final Score Prediction: Bears: 34 | Falcons: 27

Bears vs Falcons Betting Trends

- Chicago is 11-4 straight up in its last 15 games against Atlanta.
- Atlanta is 3-9 against the spread (ATS) in its last 12 home games.
- The total has hit the over in five of Chicago's last six games.
- The total has hit the under in nine of Atlanta's last 11 games against Chicago.

Bears vs Falcons Best Bet

This is one of those games that has all of the makings of a shootout. The Bears have averaged 31 PPG over their last three outings while the Falcons have operated at a 23.2 PPG clip overall. With both defenses ranking in the bottom 10 of the NFL, there shouldn't be any shortage of offense for either side.

Back the over on the total.

Bet: Over 50.5 Points (-108)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.