NCAAF Betting

Baylor vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 13 (Longhorns Hook 'em)

FairwayJay
Baylor vs Texas prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game.
Baylor vs Texas prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game. / Associated Press
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Baylor vs Texas Week 13 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Baylor Bears (6-5, 4-4 Big 12) vs. No. 23 Texas Longhorns (7-4, 5-3 Big 12)
Date: Friday, Nov. 25, 2022
Time: 12 p.m. ET
Venue: Darrell Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium — Austin, TX
Coverage: ESPN

Week 13 of the 2022 college football season includes a Big 12 battle between the Baylor Bears and Texas Longhorns, who rolled over Kansas last week 53-14.

Meanwhile, Baylor has lost back-to-back games including a heartbreaking 29-28 last second loss to No. 4 TCU last week.

Baylor vs Texas Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: BAY: (+260) | TEX: (-330)
Spread: BAY: +8.5 (-110) | TEX: -8.5 (-110)
Total: 55.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Texas enters this contest as a clear home favorite on the spread (-8.5) and moneyline (-330. A win by Baylor returns +260. The total is currently 55.5 points - right about average for a college football over/under compared to other games this week.

Baylor vs Texas Prediction & Pick

Tough for Baylor to get off the mat after last week's emotional loss to TCU that required max energy and effort. The Bears run into a tough Texas run defense that is No. 2 in the Big 12 allowing just 125 rushing yards per game. Bears RB's Craig “Sqwirl” Williams and Richard Reese (14 TD's) have combined for 1,438 rushing yards and 18 rushing touchdowns.

But the leading rusher in the Pac 12 is Longhorns RB Bijan Robinson (1,401 yards, 14 TD's). Bears senior safety Al Walcott is a do-it-all defender and leading tackler, but Texas has their own star on defense in Jaylan Ford, who is second in the conference in tackles (96) and INT's (3), and tied for second in both forced fumbles (3) and fumbles recovered (2).

Texas failed in a flat performance at home two weeks against TCU in a 17-10 loss with their running game shut down. The line is a bit high, and if Baylor is able to hang, it will be a real credit to their coaches and players in a tough spot.

Final Score Prediction: Texas: 34 | Baylor: 20

Baylor vs Texas Betting Trends

- Baylor is 14-6 SU in their last 20 games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 contests.
- Baylor is 2-12 SU in their last 14 road games at Texas.
- Texas is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- Texas is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
- The total in this series has gone Under in the last 9 games.

Baylor vs Texas Best Bet

Baylor has played well on the conference trail with wins over Texas Tech and Oklahoma the past month. But the Bears were also torched for 500 yards and 43 points at West Virginia in a 3-point loss. The Bears have a strong, balanced offense that runs for 202 and passes for 240 per game. Usually I would look their was in this underdog role. But Texas runs for 200 and passes for 234 YPG to match the Baylor, and the Longhorns have held high-powered TCU and Alabama to 17 and 20 points in narrow home losses this season.

The situation off that emotional loss last week and quick turnaround, combined with Texas' motivation to reach the Big 12 Championship Game (with a K-State loss Sat) has us leaning the Longhorns way.

Bet: Texas -8.5 (-110)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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