Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for College Football Game on FanDuel Sportsbook

Updated: Sep 10, 5:00pm UTC

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Week 6 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2, 1-2 SEC) vs. No. 23 Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1, 1-1 SEC)
Date: Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022
Time: 12 p.m. ET
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium — Starkville, MS
Coverage: SEC Network

Week 6 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes a big SEC battle between the Arkansas Razorbacks and No. 23 Mississippi State Bulldogs. Arkansas lost to No. 1 Alabama last week 49-26 while Mississippi State rolled over Texas A&M 42-24 and entered the AP Top-25.

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: ARK: (+245) | MSST: (-310)
Spread: ARK: +8.5 (-115) | MSST: -8.5 (-105)
Total: 61.5 — Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)

Mississippi State is a -8.5 favorite on the spread, and -310 on the moneyline. The takeback on underdog Arkansas to win is +245. The total is higher at 63.5 points. The betting line opened Sunday in Las Vegas at Mississippi State -6, and the Bulldogs are up to -8.5 favorite.

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction & Pick

With Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson's status uncertain this week, the Razorbacks will lean on the SEC's leading rusher Raheim Morris to carry the load. His 609 rushing yards is double that of Mississippi State's leading rusher Dillon Johnson.

But the Bulldogs have the league's leading passer in sophomore Will Rodgers (1,715 yards), who is just 18 yards behind the nation's leading passer in Washington. Rodgers also tops the SEC with a 73% completion rate his 19 TD passes leads the country. The Bulldogs have scored at least 39 points against four FBS opponents and were only slowed in a 31-16 loss at LSU.

The Arkansas pass defense is very deficient, and this is a favorable match-up for Mississippi State and the Bulldogs passing attack. Mississippi State rolled up 486 yards offense against Arkansas last year, and Rodgers passed for 417 yards and 4 TD's in a 31-28 defeat.

Final Score Prediction: Mississippi State: 45 | Arkansas: 31

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Betting Trends

- Arkansas is 8-3 straight up (SU) in their last 11games.
- Arkansas is 2-16 SU in their last 18 road games.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Arkansas' last 5 games.
- Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 home games.

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

These two had the same power rating in Week 2. The significant spread adjustment for this game is made due to Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson's status. He left last week's game against Alabama after taking a hard hit to the head in the fourth quarter. He's day-to-day at this point, but may have to sit out. Jefferson has passed for 1100 yards and 11 TDs, and rushed for 312 yards and 4 touchdowns. Arkansas redshirt senior QB Cade Fortin would start and dual threat Malik Hornsby could also see action against Mississippi State.

Will Rodgers is coming of a 329 yards and 3 TD game against the stingy Texas A&M defense, and the Bulldogs should score plenty against Arkansas. Without KJ Jefferson, the Hogs offensive attack doesn't likely have enough answers to keep pace.