Since 2002, quarterbacks making first start in the NFL Playoffs have gone 13-30 SU and 11-31-1 ATS.— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 11, 2019
Home favorites like Patrick Mahomes and the @Chiefs: 6-13 SU and 3-16 ATS.
The Chiefs are 5-point favorites at home against a scalding-hot Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts, but a trend like this is hard to ignore. Although this stat does directly conflict with one about dome teams playing outdoors on the road in the playoffs and another pointing to how well Mahomes plays against defenses like the Colts.
Only time will tell which one of these trends wins out, and there's plenty of sample size to support both, but despite Mahomes' incredible season, this trend and how hot the Colts are should make bettors at least worry a little bit before laying your money down on the Chiefs.
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David Kaestle is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, David also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username davekaestle. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.