Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for CONCACAF Gold Cup Semifinals (Can Mexico Avoid an Upset?)

The 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup Semifinals features a massive matchup between Jamaica and Mexico on Wednesday, July 12. 

Jamaica vs Mexico Match Info

2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup Semifinals
Jamaica vs. Mexico
Date: Wednesday, July 12, 2023
Time: 10 p.m. ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium — Las Vegas, Nevada
Coverage: FS1

Jamaica emerges from the quarterfinals following a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Guatemala. Meanwhile, a pair of second-half goals were the difference-makers in Mexico's 2-0 win against Costa Rica.

Jamaica vs Mexico Odds & Spread

All CONCACAF Gold Cup betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: JAM: (+290) | MEX: (-210) | Draw (+300)
Spread: JAM: +1 (+135) | MEX: -1 (+160)
Total: 2.5 – Over: (-116) | Under: (-120)
Team to Score the First Goal: JAM: (+210) | MEX: (-230) I NO GOALS: (+1000)

Mexico enters this contest as the favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 2.5 goals with the Under being favored at -120 odds.

Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction & Pick

Jamaica is on quite the run, having won its last three outings 10-1 on aggregate. Nevertheless, it hasn't exactly been defeating powerhouses, as those victories came against Trinidad & Tobago, St. Kitts and Nevis, and Guatemala. Needless to say, a matchup against Mexico poses a tougher test.

After losing to Qatar in the group stage, Mexico bounced back nicely in its win over Costa Rica, holding the latter to one shot on goal on nine attempts. Mexico is also used to dealing with the spotlight, having advanced to the Gold Cup Final in six of the last eight tournaments.

While Jamaica has reached the final stage twice since 2015, it failed to earn a victory both times. Meanwhile, Mexico has won the tournament twice since then and came within one goal of going the distance in 2021 as well.

Jamaica will put up a decent fight, but Mexico has proven it has what it takes to win it all.

Final Score Prediction: Mexico: 2 | Jamaica: 1

Jamaica vs Mexico Betting Trends

• Jamaica has never won the CONCACAF Gold Cup but has made the finals twice (2015, 2017).
• Mexico has won the CONCACAF Gold Cup eight times (1993, 1996, 1998, 2003, 2009, 2011, 2015, 2019).
• Jamaica is 3-1-1 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
• Mexico is 4-0-1 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
• Mexico is 2-2-1 in its last five head-to-head matchups against Jamaica.

Jamaica vs Mexico Best Bet

For the best bet, let's take the total going over 2.5 goals. Jamaica's last five matches have seen an average of 3.2 goals scored while Mexico's previous four saw 2.8. The last four Jamaica-Mexico showdowns also saw an average of three goals scored, finishing with more than 2.5 a trio of times.

With a spot in the Gold Cup Final on the line, I expect both countries to give their best effort, resulting in the Over being hit again.

Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (-116)

Check out more Gold Cup coverage from The Duel:

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.