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4:15 AM

AU - Traralgon - Race 5

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
5.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
17.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

The promising MAGNABELLE ROYALE (9) won three jumpouts and impressed winning a Dunkeld Maiden easily on debut, bet $2.70. This is a step up, but she gives every impression it's winnable with the extra fitness and learning. ASMITA (15) opened this campaign finding one too good at Moe in stronger. She's in a top yard and has more up the sleeve. A live chance to go one better. WARRIOR SMILE (5) resumes for a top barn and has been sharp at the jumpouts. He's been gelded and has a neat miss at Stakes level in the form. Has to be considered. THE WIZARD KING (6) pushed forward from a wide draw and was prominent for a long way before fading beaten 2.7L at Geelong. Maps to advantage and has been unlucky a couple of times this preparation. Each way claims. FOREVER WITH NED (8) has been well prepared for her return and was beaten far in town when last seen. Has placed 2/2 fresh and keep onside.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Magnabelle Royale silk

Claiming her maiden victory on debut, favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at Dunkeld 3yo Mdn-Sw November 15 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Gwen's Girl carrying 123lbs at $2.70. Shows promise and looks capable of winning again.

1st Pick
9

Magnabelle Royale

Jockey: Teo Nugent

Trainer: Matt Laurie

J: Teo Nugent

T: Matt Laurie

114---31%9/4

Analysis

Claiming her maiden victory on debut, favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at Dunkeld 3yo Mdn-Sw November 15 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Gwen's Girl carrying 123lbs at $2.70. Shows promise and looks capable of winning again.

15
Asmita silk

Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 11 at Moe Bm66 Hcp on November 16 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Speir carrying 120lbs at $13. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Kilmore F&M Bm58 on May 5 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Flitgrove carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Hard to beat.

2nd Pick
15

Asmita

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

J: Non Runner

T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

87---23%7/2

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 11 at Moe Bm66 Hcp on November 16 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Speir carrying 120lbs at $13. Previously second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Kilmore F&M Bm58 on May 5 over 6f, 1.4 len behind Flitgrove carrying 131lbs at $4.40. Hard to beat.

5
Warrior Smile silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation fifth of 8 at Caulfield 2yo Hcp May 31 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Salty Pearl carrying 123lbs at $3.50. On debut fourth in a small field at Moonee Valley in the LR St Albans Stks March 22 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind Prestige Forever carrying 128lbs at $12. Expecting a big return.

3rd Pick
5

Warrior Smile

Jockey: Koby Jennings

Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

J: Koby Jennings

T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

109---15%6/1

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation fifth of 8 at Caulfield 2yo Hcp May 31 over 6f, 5.5 len behind Salty Pearl carrying 123lbs at $3.50. On debut fourth in a small field at Moonee Valley in the LR St Albans Stks March 22 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind Prestige Forever carrying 128lbs at $12. Expecting a big return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.