AU - Traralgon - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

9.4f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

21.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough. NO SAVINGS (8) led and turned the form around placing at Pakenham over 1 ¼m. This is a nice drop in grade and she'll present at peak fitness. REEL CRYSTAL (10) did her best work late finding a place over 7 ?f at Kyneton. Went well at Mornington prior and is worth another try at the longer trip. SAXON BLOOD (1) found one better at Tatura but finished the race off. He's going well enough to say he's a chance. NINETEENTH HOLE (7) has been below here best but may improve out to this trip. Positions forward and should be around the mark. DELTA MOON (6) has been plainer her last couple but the 4lbs claim is handy and the longer journey should advantage.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Form hard to fault. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 14 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Zeaction carrying 127lbs at $61. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 1 ³/16m, 11 len behind Captain Cat with 127lbs at $41. Can go one better. 1st Pick 8 No Savings Jockey: Jade Darose Trainer: Christine Sexton J: Jade Darose T: Christine Sexton	115	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 14 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Zeaction carrying 127lbs at $61. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at this track Mdn-Sw on November 1 over 1 ³/16m, 11 len behind Captain Cat with 127lbs at $41. Can go one better.
10	Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 7f, 5 len behind Helioson carrying 146lbs at $2.80. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Red Feathers carrying 125lbs at $11. Gets her chance to get off the mark. 2nd Pick 10 Reel Crystal Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Shane Stockdale J: Teo Nugent T: Shane Stockdale	115	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 3rd of 9 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on November 18 over 7f, 5 len behind Helioson carrying 146lbs at $2.80. The run before that ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 7 at Mornington Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Red Feathers carrying 125lbs at $11. Gets her chance to get off the mark.
1	Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Tatura Mdn-Sw on November 22 over 1 ³/16m, 2.25 len behind Black Frost with 131lbs at $11. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 10th of 12 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 1 ¼m, 9 len behind Za Za Best carrying 131lbs at $61. In the mix. 3rd Pick 1 Saxon Blood Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: Nathan Mcpherson J: Jake Noonan T: Nathan Mcpherson	124	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Tatura Mdn-Sw on November 22 over 1 ³/16m, 2.25 len behind Black Frost with 131lbs at $11. The run before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 10th of 12 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on November 13 over 1 ¼m, 9 len behind Za Za Best carrying 131lbs at $61. In the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.