How important are batter/pitcher matchups? (Part 1)

How important are batter/pitcher matchups? (Part 1)
This past month, I examined one of the most common myths of evaluating fantasy players on a daily basis: streaks. I found that, for the most part, streaks have little-to-no predictive value. Over the next two weeks, I’m going to tackle another myth: batter/pitcher matchups. It’s common practice for daily league players and even television ...

Pitcher Matchups for June 28-July 1

Pitcher Matchups for June 28-July 1
My intention this week was to look at how predictive batter/pitcher matchups are, but I had some last minute problems with the data, so that will have to wait until next week.  Instead, I thought I’d take this opportunity to take a step back from the usual format of running a study and lighten things ...

How well do cold streaks predict the future performance of pitchers?

How well do cold streaks predict the future performance of pitchers?
Over the past three weeks, I’ve been looking at how predictive hot and cold streaks are for baseball players. Thus far, I’ve looked at hot and cold streaks for hitters and hot streaks for pitchers, finishing up this week with cold streaks for pitchers. The Study I’ll be using the same methodology I’ve been using ...

How well do hot streaks predict the future performance of pitchers?

How well do hot streaks predict the future performance of pitchers?
Over the past couple weeks, I’ve looked at how predictive hot and cold streaks are for hitters. Given that a hitter is on a hot or cold streak, how likely is it that the streak will continue in the next game? While I found nothing to indicate hot streaks have much predictive value, I did ...

How well do cold streaks predict the future performance of hitters?

How well do cold streaks predict the future performance of hitters?
Last week in this space, I looked at how well hot streaks predict the future performance for hitters. That is, given that a hitter is currently on a hot streak, how likely is it that he’ll continue that hot streak in the next game? Well, last week I found the answer to this question to ...

How important are hot streaks for hitters?

How important are hot streaks for hitters?
During my appearance on TribLIVE Radio’s fantasy show last week (you can hear the audio recording of it here), the topic of hot and cold players came up a few times. My general response was that I don’t put a whole lot of credence into hot and cold streaks because I don’t believe that a ...

Are pitchers riskier than hitters? A roto versus daily comparison.

Are pitchers riskier than hitters? A roto versus daily comparison.
This week, I thought I’d deviate from talking about context adjustments and talk a little bit more theoretically and discuss some strategy. For those who have been reading my column this season, you know that this is my first year participating in daily leagues. My first love was traditional rotisserie leagues, which I’ve been pretty ...

Context Adjustments: The Effect of Umpires on Fantasy Baseball

Context Adjustments: The Effect of Umpires on Fantasy Baseball
During my first couple weeks writing for FanDuel, I discussed the most common contextual factor that fantasy players consider: park effects. As I discussed then, park effects are extremely important for fantasy players – daily fantasy players in particular – to consider when selecting their teams. They are not, however, the only contextual factor that’s ...

The strategy behind playing daily fantasy baseball

The strategy behind playing daily fantasy baseball
As most of you know, this is my first year playing daily fantasy baseball contests, and it has been a blast so far. Granted, my sample size is tiny thus far, but I’ve managed to attain a 69% win percentage in head-to-head matchups to this point. The strategy I’ve used in almost every one of ...

The Benefits of Facing a Poor Offense for Fantasy Pitchers

The Benefits of Facing a Poor Offense for Fantasy Pitchers
The past couple of weeks, I’ve written about how quality of defense and quality of opponent affects a hitter’s stats. This week and next, I’m going to do the same for pitchers. Today, I’ll be looking at how much a pitcher’s numbers change when facing different calibers of offense. The study To study the effects ...