FanDuel MLB Plays for Wednesday, May 7th
It’s Wednesday, which means all day MLB action on FanDuel. There are six “early” afternoon games, and nine evening matchups in today’s slate. FanDuel’s contests are broken up by these time-frames, with majority of the guaranteed tournaments locking at 7:05 ET. Some of the highlighted contests include:
- $25K MLB Strikeout – starts at 12:35 ET ($5,000 1st place)
- $40K MLB Strikeout – starts at 7:05 ET ($6,000 1st place)
- DFBC Qualifier – starts at 7:05 ET (1st place = Vegas trip & entry to DFBC main event)
- $100K MLB Monster – starts at 7:05 ET ($15,000 1st place)
Now, onto the advice that will help you win a piece of that cash!
The picks below are broken up by the “early” and “late” contest format I just mentioned. My fundamental strategy when selecting a player is to look for “the path of least resistance”, trying to pinpoint pitchers who are in a position to blow-up, and hitters who are in the best spot to take advantage of that. Due to this, you will often see many picks from the same team, especially like today’s afternoon slate only consisting of six games.
As always, be sure to check the lineup grids and weather reports. Checking the starting lineups will be paramount for the afternoon games today, as many managers view these day games as an opportune time to give their regular starters a break.
Early — Felix Hernandez (SEA) $10,100: King Felix has already harassed the Oakland A’s twice this year, picking up 2 wins and 19 K’s, while only surrendering 3 ER in those early April contests. Granted, Hernandez hasn’t exactly been pitching at that level in his past few starts, but some of that can be attributed to battling flu-like symptoms. Expect Felix to return to form this afternoon, and as you will notice below, I like the Mariners’ chances of giving him some decent run support.
Late – Rick Porcello (DET) $6,800: Make no mistake about it, Adam Wainwright (STL $9,900) is the overall top hurler of the evening, but Porcello makes an attractive pick for a fraction of the cost. He’s an extreme groundball pitcher that should be able to navigate this Astros lineup with relative ease, considering they don’t have many pesky left-handed bats to expose his weakness. Porcello is by far the largest favorite to pick up the win tonight, which gives him added security and covers his mediocre strikeout rate.
Early – Jarrod Saltalamacchia (MIA) $3,300: Salt is riding a nice little hotstreak, recording a hit in his past ten starts for the Marlins. Mets’ pitcher Zack Wheeler is generally kind to lefties (.356 wOBA), and Salt is a switch hitter that prefers to swing from the left-hand side (.259avg vs .215 as a RHB).
Late – Carlos Ruiz (PHI) $3,300: Ruiz has a nice righty/lefty matchup against Mark Buerhle tonight, giving him an excellent opportunity to keep up his torrid pace that includes a .419 average (18/43) in the past two weeks.
Early – Lyle Overbay (MIL) $2,400: Reaching deep down into the bargain bin, we find Lyle Overbay, who has been platooning the 1st base position with Mark Reynolds as of late. Today should be Overbay’s chance to take his cuts against Bronson Arroyo, who is serving up a whopping .367wOBA and 1.99HR/9 against left-handed batters. Even though Overbay doesn’t possess the same power he once did, I still really like his chances at producing some extra base hits, potentially from the fifth spot in the Brewers’ order.
Late – Justin Morneau (COL) $3,800: The Rockies offense has been explosive lately, and it’s time for Morneau to provide the spark this evening. Texas pitcher Colby Lewis owns one of the higher wOBA splits in action tonight (.351 vs LHB). Couple that with his 46% flyball rate and 1.73HR/9IP ratio, and I fully expect Morneau and the other Colorado bats to jump all over him.
Early – Robinson Cano (SEA) $3,800: In my opinion, Cano is the top bat to target in the “early only” slate. He has a great matchup against Dan Straily, who has had noticeable command issues early this year to go along with his already generous HR rate.
Late – Howie Kendrick (LAA) $3,500: Kendrick has a nice little draw here against the unproven pitching of Vidal Nuno. Howie usually bats cleanup against a left-handed pitcher, which would put him in a fantastic spot batting behind other top plays Mike Trout and Albert Pujols.
Early – Kyle Seager (SEA) $3,500: Seager was completely awful to begin the 2014 season, but he has been rounding back into form over the past two weeks. I already mentioned that Oakland pitcher Dan Straily is struggling with left-handed batters, and Seager should have several RBI opportunities in the middle of the Mariners’ order.
Late – Adrian Beltre (TEX) $3,800: Beltre is starting to heat up again following a rough 1/17 stint coming into this week. He has gone 6/14 in his past three, including a HR last night. Beltre will square off against lefty Jorge De La Rosa this evening, who surrenders a generous .342 wOBA to right-handed batters.
Early – Hanley Ramirez (LAD) $3,700: There aren’t many prime shortstop plays in this afternoon slate, so I’m hanging my hat on HanRam, who’s talent level far exceeds this $3,700 price tag. I understand the matchup vs Strasburg is far from ideal, but Ramirez actually has some decent career numbers against him (4/13, HR), and the Washington ace hasn’t exactly been intimidating as of late.
Late – Derek Jeter (NYY) $2,700: Jeter had two bad games (0/7 stretch) against the Rays last week, and all of a sudden, his price has plummeted into “bargain range”. I’m fully aware that his upside is limited, but I believe Jeter can scrape together solid value in this matchup, given his strength in hitting lefties (.355avg, .403 wOBA past three years).
Early – Michael Saunders (SEA) $3,100: Insert Seattle bat #3. The same matchup potential I mentioned with Cano and Seager also applies to Saunders, who has collected multiple hits in four of his last six games. He seems very comfortable in the leadoff role, and that should translate to the box score in this favorable matchup.
Early – Christian Yelich (MIA) $3,000: Take Mets pitcher Zack Wheeler’s .356 wOBA vs LHB, and directly apply it to Miami’s leadoff man in this situation. Yelich has a huge split differential (.326avg vs RHP, .206 vs LHP) that works in his favor today, and you can call upon him for some potentially solid production for this non-prohibitive price tag.
Late – Carlos Gonzalez (COL) $4,300: Any time Gonzalez goes up against a right-handed pitcher at home, you have to consider him. Throw in all of Colby Lewis’ inefficiencies (listed in the Morneau write-up above), and CarGo appears to be a “five-star” play tonight. You can also consider his teammate Charlie Blackmon for a similar price, but I would take Gonzalez if I were pressed into only selecting one.
Late – Alfonso Soriano (NYY) $3,300: LAA pictcher, Hector Santiago, is a flyball hurler (49%) that allows 1.42HR/9IP to right-handed batters. That plays perfectly into Soriano’s power-hitting wheelhouse, as he is fully capable of crushing left-handed pitching, with a jump in SLG % (.446 vs RHP to .529 vs LHP) when comparing his splits.