FanDuel Risk Aversion Therapy: Week 3
Last week wasn’t the best week for the Therapy Session.
The Bad: Terrelle Pryor (finished 26th in FanDuel Points per $), DeAngelo Williams (33rd), Darren Sproles (34th)
The Okay: Ryan Tannehill (14th), Marlon Brown (19th), Cecil Shorts (27th), Julius Thomas (12th), Jordan Cameron (15th)
The Good: DeSean Jackson (2nd)
The cheated out of all my FanDuel points because of Brandon Meriweather!: Eddie Lacy
So, I’ll eat last week and move on forward. I’m going to get even riskier because this is therapy to get you over risk aversion and to help you embrace it. Let’s give these guys a big ol’ hug.
Sam Bradford: ($7,300) Eli Manning put four and a half football fields of passing yardage on the Cowboys week 1 and then Alex Smith, the check down king, passed for 223 yards and two touchdowns against them. Bradford has had two good fantasy games against the Cardinals and Falcons. On the season he has 651 yards passing and five touchdowns. The Rams have little running game to speak of and will be in pass mode much of the game with Dallas most likely being able to pass on their 27th ranked pass defense and keep Bradford chucking the ball all game.
Ryan Tannehill: ($6,100) The Falcons pass defense has given up 709 yards passing and five touchdowns and have only sacked the quarterback twice. They also have some key injuries on defense with Biermann, Weatherspoon and Samuel all banged up. With Steven Jackson out the Falcons will most likely throw the ball quite a bit and turn this game into a shootout. Tannehill is averaging 295.5 yards passing a game.
Jake Locker: ($5,000) The Chargers have been awful in pass defense and good in pass offense. Their first two games have turned into shootouts. Locker has faced two very tough defenses on the road in Pittsburgh and Houston, the second of which he threw two touchdowns against. He now gets the Chargers at home who allowed Michael Vick to throw for 428 yards, two touchdowns and to run for another. The week before Matt Schaub threw for 346 yards and three touchdowns against them. Hey, I’m not saying Locker is going to put those numbers up, but he can score with his legs and if San Diego continues to play well on offense fantasy points will be scored and he is dirt-cheap.
Joique Bell: ($6,500) Yes, this is a no brainer if Reggie Bush doesn’t play. But it looks like he’s about 50/50 to be active at this point. So the risk is that I’d play him even if Bush is active. The odds that Bush, even if he starts, lasts the whole game or isn’t limited, are long. Bell will get plenty, if not all of the work against a Washington team that has been terrible against the run this season. They’ve given up 351 yards rushing, the most in the league, on 61 carries for 5.8 yards per carry.
Bilal Powell: ($4,600) Powell has had no trouble this season holding off Chris Ivory and now he gets a nice matchup against the Buffalo Bills who have given up the third most rushing yards in the league. Powell will split carries with Ivory, but also gets all of the passing down work. At such a cheap price he could provide value.
Andre Ellington: ($4,500) Rashard Mendenhall has yet to practice this week with a bum toe and the Cardinals face the Saints who have given up the fifth most rushing yards at 220 and the third most yards per carry at 5.1. Ellington looked good last week on just six touches that he turned into 62 yards and a touchdown.
Ryan Broyles: ($5,000) Say what!? What. Patrick Edwards hasn’t practiced this week and it’s looking like he won’t be able to go against Washington. Ryan Broyles should be active for this game and we’ve seen just how bad Washington’s pass defense has been. There’s no chance that they will allow DeAngelo Hall to man up Calvin Johnson so he should see help all game, which will give Broyles and Nate Burleson plenty of targets in this one.
Josh Gordon: ($5,500) The new look Browns are without much of anything in the run game, but they do get Josh Gordon back from suspension and they will need to throw the ball to move it at all.
Kendall Wright ($5,500) This goes along with the play all passing game players against San Diego edict I’ve given myself. Wright looked good last week, better than Kenny Britt by a long shot. He had seven receptions for 54 yards and made a nice touchdown reception. He should be Locker’s go to guy again this week, but against a much easier defense.
Charles Clay ($4,700) Last week Clay had seven targets and caught five of them for 109 yards. But the icing on that cake was a goal line touchdown plunge. Clay is a bit of a hybrid fullback/tight end so that touchdown wasn’t a crazy trick play. We could see that again. But even if you don’t, he’s a starting tight end who has 13 targets and 10 receptions through the first two games at a cheap price.
Zach Sudfeld ($4,500) Can the sleeper bust un bust himself this week? Well, this is the week to do it. Tight ends so far, one good, Jimmy Graham and one not so good, Kellen Winslow, are scorching Tampa Bay. Tampa’s defense is stout for the most part, but can’t seem to keep tight ends in check.
Greg Olsen ($6,300) He’s not exactly dirt cheap, but he’s still economical and faces the New York Giants who have given up 16 receptions and three touchdowns to tight ends so far this season. Olsen is Cam Newton’s second favorite target and gets 26% of his pass attempts.