FanDuel Risk Aversion Therapy – Week 2

Last week we saw the “risky” picks of Terrelle Pryor, Michael Vick, Shane Vereen, Desean Jackson, and Jordan Cameron pay off, but the Kenbrell Thompkins, Zach Sudfeld, and Isaac Redman picks were unmitigated duds. This week we’ll take another swing at lower to mid priced players who could play better than their FanDuel price.

Quarterbacks

Terrelle Pryor: $6500 – Pryor of course shot up in price $1400, but is still bargain basement in comparison to his quarterback compatriots. I really don’t see any reason not to double down on Pryor this week. He’ll be owned more, so differential won’t be as good, but at least you know he can play football in the NFL without curling up in the fetal position in the corner of the end zone.

This week he faces the Jacksonville Jaguars at home. That’s 2,367 miles the Jags have to travel to go play in the hostile black hole confines. Chad Henne will help them open up their offense, which is good since we need them to score some to keep the game moving, and the Jaguars defense doesn’t have much of a pass rush, which should be good for Pryor when running the ball. I expect another good rushing game from him with whatever he does through the air as gravy.

 

Ryan Tannehill: $6600 – Tannehill passed for 272 yards and a touchdown in Cleveland against a good Browns defense. He now gets to take on a Colts defense that had trouble with Terrelle Pryor and don’t forget Tannehill is also fairly mobile. The Colts don’t have a Joe Haden type defensive back to take Mike Wallace out of the game, so I see them getting him involved early and we saw what Brian Hartline can do last week when he wasn’t the go to receiver.

 

Running Backs

DeAngelo Williams: $6500 – DeAngelo had a costly fumble last week, but also put up decent numbers against a strong Seattle Seahawks defense. He totaled 17 carries for 86 yards and 3 receptions for 14 yards. Now he gets the opposite of the Seahawks defense when they go to face Buffalo who just allowed 23 carries for 147 yards to Shane Vereen and Stevan Ridley. That’s a nice 6.4 yards per carry. They also allowed seven receptions for 58 yards to Vereen. Williams could put up big numbers this week.

 

Darren Sproles: $6700 – Sproles isn’t much of a risk, but he is pretty cheap. Last week his 6 receptions for 110 yards and zero touchdowns still put him as the 12th best FanDuel scoring running back and the 9th best as far as points per money spent. The Bucs gave up five receptions and 56 yards to the Jets running backs last week. I think Sproles can beat those numbers.

 

Eddie Lacy: $6900 – Lacy was able to have a decent game in San Francisco, which not many running backs can claim. He had 15 touches for 72 yards and a touchdown. He recovered well from a fumble and short benching. Now he takes on Washington who was just run over by the Eagles and LeSean McCoy for a total of 209 rushing yards. He won’t get 31 carries like McCoy, but Washington will be defending the pass, and for good reason, and Lacy will get thin front lines, some passing targets and goal line carries.

 

Wide Receivers 

Cecil Shorts: $6300 – Chad Henne will not be afraid to throw the ball to Shorts and this week he faces a much easier defense than Brandon Flowers and the Chiefs. The Raiders gave up a 78% completion rate to Andrew Luck and even though Henne won’t hit that number, he will throw it enough to make something happen for Shorts who he helped become a top 10 wide receiver to end last season.

 

Desean Jackson: $5700 – We saw what Andre Johnson did to the Chargers last week and we also saw what DeSean Jackson did to Washington. Nobody can cover Jackson forever and the Eagles offense and his maneuverability give Michael Vick time to let Jackson get open. Add to that, the Eagles have no other wide receiver and he’s going to get his work.

 

Marlon Brown: $4800 – Brown took over the starting #2 receiver job after Jacoby Jones was injured and scored a touchdown. Of course the Ravens won’t throw the ball 62 times against the Browns, but with Torrey Smith most likely being matched up with Joe Haden, Brown should see some targets. We saw what Brian Hartline was able to do last week with Mike Wallace being taken out by Haden.

 

Tight Ends

Jordan Cameron: $6300 – Cameron’s price of course rose after a big week one game, but he’s still at value for the player he is and the targets he should continue to see with Josh Gordon out for another week. The Ravens did just give up a big game to Julius Thomas.
 

Julius Thomas: $6300 – Do you chase good money with bad? Well, in the case of Cameron and Thomas this week, it looks like I will be. Thomas gets the Giants who just allowed Jason Witten two touchdowns and eight receptions.

Chet Gresham

Chet has written for the N.Y. Times: Fifth Down Blog, Rotoworld, and Razzball. He is extremely/obsessively active on Twitter @Chet_G and owns and operates TheFakeFootball.com.

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