Fantasy Football QB Rankings for 2013 (Updated 8-27-13)
1. Drew Brees – NO ($9,600 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Consistency is key for a top quarterback pick and consistent is a good adjective for Brees. With Peyton being let back in through the bounty gate we should also see better efficiency from him.
2. Aaron Rodgers – GB ($9,300 Week 1 FanDuel price) – His consistency makes him and Brees the easy 1-2 QBs for me. The only reason Rodgers drops to #2 is the drafting of Eddie Lacy. Not because he is going to turn them into a run first team, but because there should be a few more rushing plays close to the goal line and Rodgers rushing touchdowns should also fall off.
3. Peyton Manning – Den ($9,300 Week 1 FanDuel price) — There is a decent chance one of the young quarterbacks guys with rushing ability will pass Manning, but we saw what he could do with Decker and Thomas last season. Add in Welker and Julius Thomas and an offensive coordinator who wants to hurry the plays more and no stud running back and there aren’t many safer picks.
4. Tom Brady – NE ($8,800 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Brady will some day slow down, but as long as Belichick is running a high octane offense you can’t let Brady fall too far. The loss of Hernandez and Gronks back knock him out of the top theree for me, but Kenbrell Thompkins and Zach Sudfeld have looked good in preseason.
5. Cam Newton – CAR ($9,200 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Cam showed that he can be a dud or stud during last season, but his stud games were huge fantasy games that led teams to championships. He gets a nice schedule this year and an amazing fantasy playoff schedule with two games against the Saints poor defense. His legs will keep him fantasy relevant even if the passing isn’t there.
6. Matthew Stafford – DET ($8,500 Week 1 FanDuel price) — He throws the ball more than I thought humanly possible. The addition of Reggie Bush will help this offense move and Stafford is in for a bounce back season with Calvin Johnson getting into the end zone more than five times.
7. Robert Griffin – WAS ($8,600 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Health is his only risk because we saw what he can do on the fantasy field. He was amazingly efficient in the passing game and he’ll have a heathyu Roy Helu, Fred Davis and Pierre Garcon to help him out.
8. Tony Romo – DAL ($8,200 Week 1 FanDuel price) — I would have no problem grabbing Romo as my starting quarterback later in the draft. He is always a top 10 fantasy quarterback when healthy and finished the season strong when he and Dez Bryant got on the same page. Add in a healthy Miles Austin and you have a ton of upside.
9. Matt Ryan – ATL ($8,800 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Ryan finished as the seventh best quarterback last season and had a career year. His upside isn’t as high as many of these quarterbacks but he’s probably safer than some of his tier peers at this point.
10. Colin Kaepernick – SF ($8,700 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Kaepernick has great upside. His arm and legs are will make all those around him better. He is lacking playmakers in the receiving core, but Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis are both steady players and Davis has shown that he can elevate his game.
11. Russell Wilson – SEA ($8,400 Week 1 FanDuel price) — I think Wilson will continue to improve his passing game and Pete Carroll will allow him to do so. The loss of Percy Harvin hurts, but he didn’t have him last year and finished strong. If he can add in the rushing yards and touchdowns his ceiling is high.
12. Andrew Luck – IND ($8,500 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Luck’s ranking is pretty mush on the same plane as the seventh ranked quarterback Romo. T.Y. Hilton should improve, Reggie Wayne has life left and Ahmad Bradshaw will be a nice addition to his arsenal and protection. He will no longer be passing as much with Bruce Arians gone, but his production could easily stay the same or get better.
13. Michael Vick – PHI ($8,100 Week 1 FanDuel price) — The good thing abut Vick is that you can get him cheaper than 13th overall for quarterbacks this season. Chip Kelly’s offense works well with a mobile quarterback and the tempo should give him plenty of plays both passing and running. His upside is huge, but his downside is IR.
14. Eli Manning – NYG ($7,800 Week 1 FanDuel price) — If his wide receivers can stay healthy he could have a bounce back fantasy season. It wasn’t that long ago (2011) he was right on the cusp of 5,000 yards and 30 touchdowns.
15. Jay Cutler – CHI ($7,500 Week 1 FanDuel price) — New up tempo offense should increase his attempts and numbers Just think, their new coach Marc Trestman ran offenses where running backs Derek Loville caught 87 passes, Terry Kirby 52, Larry Centers 69, Adrian Murrell 49, Michael Pittman 73, and Charlie Garner 91. Matt Forte will be busy getting Cutler some much needed easy yards while Martellus Bennett, Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall keep defenses honest.
16. Ben Roethlisberger – PIT ($8,000 Week 1 FanDuel price) — The loss of Wallace hurts and there isn’t a true replacement to fill his spot. But Marcus Wheaton, Emmanuel Sanders and Antonio Brown make up a nice group.
17. Carson Palmer – ARI ($6,300 Week 1 FanDuel price) — If he stays upright, Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, Andre Roberts, Rob Housler and Bruce Arians will help him reach good fantasy numbers.
18. Joe Flacco – BAL ($7,200 Week 1 FanDuel price) — It’s hard to believe his numbers can go much higher at this point but he did finish the season and into the playoffs with some top 10 fantasy stats. He?s no slouch when he?s on his game but after Torrey Smith and Dennis Pitta there just isn?t enough talent in the passing game.
19. Sam Bradford – STL ($7,200 Week 1 FanDuel price) — He now has the most playmakers around him that he?s ever had. Of course they are all very young and unproven. Bradford has the most variables of any quarterback that need to come together for him to be a top quarterback, but his ceiling is very high if Tavon Austin, Jared Cook, Brian Quick, Chris Givens, Isaiah Pead, and Daryl Richardson can do good things.
20. Andy Dalton – CIN ($7,600 Week 1 FanDuel price) — He’s still learning and the A.J. Green, Giovanni Bernard could elevate his game even more.
21. Matt Schaub – HOU ($6,800 Week 1 FanDuel price) — The addition of DeAndre Hopkins helps but he?s still in a run first offense with a back up running back in Ben Tate who would keep it a running offense even if Arian Foster fell to injury.
22. Brandon Weeden – CLE ($5,200 Week 1 FanDuel price) — He has a lot of help on offense with Richardson Gordon and Cameron but the real help will come from Norv Turner at offensive coordinator. If he can get his offense implemented and going full throttle Weeden could put up good numbers.
23. Josh Freeman – TB ($7,500 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Freeman has all the tools to be a top quarterback in this league but he continues to be inconsistent. I think the Bucs offensive players are good enough to move the ball which means Freeman will have opportunities to put fantasy points on the board.
24. EJ Manuel – BUF ($5,300 Week 1 FanDuel price) — His recent surgery hurts his chances to start but he was winning the job over Kevin Kolb and should take it back.
25. Ryan Tannehill – MIA ($6,500 Week 1 FanDuel price) — He could make a step forward with Wallace as his main man this season and Lamar Miller in the backfield. His upside is better than this ranking but I think he?s still a year or two away from being where he could be fantasy wise.
26. Alex Smith – KC ($4,500 Week 1 FanDuel price) — Dwayne Bowe is no slouch and Smith will be throwing a lot to Jamaal Charles in Andy Reid’s offense. The pieces are there for Smith to put up decent numbers but I just don’t think he’s talented enough to break on through to the other side.
27. Philip Rivers – SD ($6,900 Week 1 FanDuel price) — He’s on the downside of his abilities and will need to show a resurgence to have a shot at fantasy relevance this season. There are some talented receivers on the team but Antonio Gates is on the downside of his career and most of their receivers can’t stay healthy.
28. Jake Locker – TEN ($6,200 Week 1 FanDuel price) — He still seems pretty raw but will have some decent weapons especially if Britt is back to 100%. If the coaches let him run he could easily surpass this ranking. I like his talent if he can bring it together but I?m not going to bet on it this season.
29. Terrelle Pryor – OAK ($5,100 Week 1 FanDuel price) — His running ability could make him fantasy worthy if he starts. He would be higher on this list, but his supporting cast will be a owngrade than say, Tim Tebow and the Broncos.
30. Geno Smith – NYJ ($5,500 Week 1 FanDuel price) — It won’t be long before he’s starting if Mark Sanchez plays like he did last season. Not sure if that means much, but we’ve seen crazier things from rookie quarterbacks recently.
31. Christian Ponder – MIN ($5,500 Week 1 FanDuel price) — The addition of Jennings and subtraction of Harvin are a bit of a wash as far as his stats go. He’ll have to make a leap forward to be fantasy relevant this season and he just hasn’t shown much so far. Peterson is still the bread winner in that offense.
32. Blaine Gabbert – JAC ($5,000 Week 1 FanDuel price) — He’ll need to make some huge strides this season for me to take notice.