Fantasy Football Passing Game Forecast for Week 4
Rex Grossman: I don’t love Rex Grossman. Really, who does? But the St. Louis Rams pass defense is crazy bad right now. Grossy isn’t going to lead the Native Americans to the Super Bowl anytime soon, but I do think with plus matchups like this he can be useful. The Rams were just abused by Torrey Smith, a rookie receiver and are ranked 30th in fantasy points given up to quarterbacks.
Jason Campbell: Passing against the Patriots has not been a problem this season. They are dead last in passing yards and fantasy points given up to quarterbacks and wide receivers. And they now travel cross country to the black hole. Brady has always had great games after poor ones so I don’t see any reason he won’t get them into the end zone often, which means Campbell will need to pass more than usual. Do I trust him to put up the yardage other quarterbacks are putting on the Patriots? Not really, but he gets Jacoby Ford back this week and Denarius Moore is showing great skill early on and of course Darren McFadden will be the player Belichick will be trying to contain. It sets up well for JC.
Cam Newton: He came back to earth last game, but still managed to get some rushing yards and a passing touchdown without turning the ball over and that happened during a deluge. Newton goes into Soldier Field to face a stout defense led by Urlacher and Peppers, but he’s looked too good to give up on after one down game. The Bears have had trouble against #1 receivers this season and Newton has been targeting Steve Smith, his #1, over and over again to much success.
Denarius Moore: Most of that stuff I said about Jason Campbell works right here, so think about that in this area. And then go and watch that 50 yard touchdown grab he made against Buffalo. Or just take a look right here. That is how you catch a football.
Santana Moss: Moss is easily the go to guy for Washington. He’s not usually going to put up huge numbers, but once in a while there are matchups that just lend themselves to inflated stats. This is one of them. And since he’s the guy getting the receptions, well, he’ll get the yards.
Mario Manningham: Super Mario hasn’t been all that super this season, but he gets a nice matchup to redeem himself. The Cardinals have little in the way of pass defense and are ranked 25th in the league. With Nicks still hurting Manningham might need to step up.
A.J. Green: The Bills have a league low 2 sacks which should give Andy Dalton the time he needs to get the ball to Green. And he needs that time because he’s had trouble this season when being pressured.
Steve Smith: Cam Newton had trouble connecting with Smith last week, but he still gave him 7 targets in the heavy rain. They should get back on track this week against the Bears who are ranked 26th against the pass this season.
Greg Olsen: The Bears were just shut down by an athletic Cover 2 busting tight end in Jermichael Finley and Greg Olsen returns to his old team looking for a little revenge. He knows this Cover 2 pretty well from having practiced against it and he knows the personnel for the same reason. I have a feeling he may exploit this knowledge.
Randy McMichael: Antonio Gates looks like he’ll be a no show and both Malcom Floyd and Vincent Jackson didn’t practice on Thursday and the Dolphins have given up the most fantasy points to tight ends and, well, do you need more than that?
Jared Cook: With Kenny Britt done for the season Cook should finally start to see some targets. He is a gifted player, but for some reason Hasselbeck and Cook aren’t connecting. The Browns have a decent pass defense, but they have yet to face much of an offense and they’ve still given up touchdowns to Dallas Clark and Jermaine Gresham.
Ed Dickson: The Jets pass defense is very good, but they have only been tested once by a good tight end and that was Jason Witten who had 6 receptions for 110 yards. Anquan Boldin will most likely be stranded on Revis Island all day so Dickson should see a decent amount of targets.
Besides Fanduel.com, Chet has written for the N.Y. Times: Fifth Down Blog, Rotoworld and his own site Razzball. He is extremely/obsessively active on Twitter and will answer your questions as best he can if you throw them @ChetRazzball.
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